Conf = Centennial
Nickname = PA Bullets Coach = Peter ToneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.1598663 home-field advantage = -0.68 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Lynchburg ODAC (14- 5, 96.5) 15-10 224 A Salisbury CLC (19- 0, 99.9) 8-14 302 H Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (13- 6, 93.8) 11- 9 309 H Washington & Lee ODAC (13- 5, 95.0) 8-15 316 H Denison NCAC (14- 5, 93.0) 13- 7 320 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 8- 9 323 A Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 9, 91.1) 14- 9 327 H McDaniel Centennial ( 6- 9, 86.6) 14- 5 330 H Haverford Centennial ( 7- 9, 89.6) 19- 5 403 H York MAC-Commonwlt (10- 8, 94.2) 15-10 406 A Swarthmore Centennial (14- 2, 95.7) 9-13 410 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.7) 8- 5 413 H Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 8, 93.3) 11-12 417 A Dickinson Centennial (16- 2, 95.7) 8-12 427 A Washington College Centennial ( 6-11, 90.4) 14-18 430 A Washington College Centennial ( 6-11, 90.4) 13-11 502 A Swarthmore Centennial (14- 2, 95.7) 13-12 504 A Dickinson Centennial (16- 2, 95.7) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Lynchburg 15-10 5 -1 +++ 6.68 224 A Salisbury 8-14 -6 -6 0.42 302 H Stevenson 11- 9 2 0 1.01 309 H Washington & Lee 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.81 316 H Denison 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.13 320 H Amherst 8- 9 -1 -2 1.00 323 A Ursinus 14- 9 5 2 + 2.65 327 H McDaniel 14- 5 9 8 0.00 330 H Haverford 19- 5 14 5 1.75 403 H York 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.36 406 A Swarthmore 9-13 -4 -2 -1.77 410 H Franklin & Marshall 8- 5 3 4 -1.14 413 H Muhlenberg 11-12 -1 1 - -2.58 417 A Dickinson 8-12 -4 -2 -1.83 427 A Washington College 14-18 -4 3 --- -7.11 430 A Washington College 13-11 2 3 -1.11 502 A Swarthmore 13-12 1 -2 + 3.23 504 A Dickinson 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Washington & Lee 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.81 427 A Washington College 14-18 -4 3 --- -7.11 413 H Muhlenberg 11-12 -1 1 - -2.58 504 A Dickinson 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.83OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Lynchburg 15-10 5 -1 +++ 6.68 316 H Denison 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.13 403 H York 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.36 323 A Ursinus 14- 9 5 2 + 2.65 502 A Swarthmore 13-12 1 -2 + 3.23
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.16 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.85 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 12 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7511 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .6169 RPI Rank................... 27 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 23 Selection sum ........... 77 Selection Rank ............ 21 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 61 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 46 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7